Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2108.630515 2289.757496 2472.985302 2671.918582 2881.508134 3095.473860 3330.116883
2025-05-25 1788.622739 2057.456748 2339.714252 2656.949705 3002.357884 3365.883865 3776.225743
2025-06-01 1609.954801 1933.247781 2282.079008 2683.932445 3131.587457 3612.547384 4165.933418
2025-06-08 1444.209650 1802.035040 2197.529949 2662.932136 3191.479493 3769.146160 4444.247170
2025-06-15 1354.949121 1746.542349 2188.180236 2717.051298 3327.122522 4003.032346 4802.683441
2025-06-22 1254.621153 1669.156921 2145.833755 2726.189444 3405.456051 4167.517711 5079.194862
2025-06-29 1159.451937 1590.569751 2095.644099 2720.266260 3461.318301 4302.342789 5318.752326
2025-07-06 1039.512612 1474.073343 1993.438170 2646.394000 3432.036044 4334.281063 5435.978951
2025-07-13 1012.471740 1470.450207 2025.662271 2731.829714 3589.858833 4583.303964 5804.938911
2025-07-20 967.838578 1441.379304 2024.057597 2774.070022 3694.523430 4769.073956 6099.827972
2025-07-27 912.472056 1395.106839 1998.210282 2784.081899 3758.368266 4905.242538 6335.638912
2025-08-03 855.578734 1343.579879 1962.960975 2779.956433 3803.004687 5017.092752 6541.749406
2025-08-10 810.850247 1306.870598 1945.950702 2798.782811 3876.813697 5165.894285 6795.078285
2025-08-17 755.426098 1252.789216 1904.155017 2784.306167 3908.077752 5262.656801 6986.099808
2025-08-24 721.039750 1225.863361 1896.396185 2812.153995 3991.334472 5422.279386 7253.052917
2025-08-31 670.445845 1173.263297 1852.082007 2790.473038 4010.396754 5501.954391 7422.142533
2025-09-07 651.851452 1165.542837 1867.426474 2846.343084 4127.789083 5703.065355 7740.046564
2025-09-14 618.133790 1133.865623 1848.589010 2855.775766 4184.831436 5828.830272 7965.498134
2025-09-21 581.382252 1095.707978 1819.163627 2849.661705 4220.736074 5927.534040 8157.307571
2025-09-28 524.408542 1023.722235 1739.637134 2773.397588 4163.148649 5906.988046 8199.799506
2025-10-05 522.451020 1036.739488 1780.670846 2861.597672 4321.599440 6160.149337 8584.438517
2025-10-12 507.059050 1027.733956 1789.509965 2905.194474 4421.148682 6338.797023 8876.541125
2025-10-19 482.732870 1003.198040 1774.873038 2915.526898 4476.090271 6460.416045 9097.263183